1 00:00:00,000 --> 00:00:07,000 Mr. Crichton, having made it almost impossible for me to speak without it sounding like an 2 00:00:07,000 --> 00:00:16,000 anti-climax, I will say very briefly what I want to give you is a review of the scientific 3 00:00:16,000 --> 00:00:25,000 evidence for there possibly being something in UFOs, and then my own particular theories 4 00:00:25,000 --> 00:00:32,000 as to the possible relationship between unidentified flying objects and parapsychology. 5 00:00:32,000 --> 00:00:39,000 I'm deliberately sticking close to the text of the articles which have appeared in Flying 6 00:00:39,000 --> 00:00:44,000 Salsa Review. This will for one thing make it easier for you to follow the argument, it 7 00:00:44,000 --> 00:00:50,000 will also make it easier for you to get the end of it, which will be in the next issue 8 00:00:50,000 --> 00:00:56,000 of the review. I'm cutting as much of it as I can in a moment without going over the copyrighted 9 00:00:56,000 --> 00:01:06,000 lab. It has taken approximately 2,500 million years or in modern terminology 2.5 aons for 10 00:01:06,000 --> 00:01:12,000 biological life to evolve upon Earth and to attain a state of technological development 11 00:01:12,000 --> 00:01:19,000 where we can now break away from the gravitational pull of our planet and visit other worlds. 12 00:01:19,000 --> 00:01:24,000 So far we have been restricted to the use of unknown vehicles, but I think it would be quite 13 00:01:24,000 --> 00:01:31,000 unrealistic not to believe that within the next decade we are going to visit the moon 14 00:01:31,000 --> 00:01:38,000 and probably the nearer planets as well. These possibilities of interplanetary flight have 15 00:01:38,000 --> 00:01:45,000 only been known for about 30 years, and the possibilities of communication between worlds 16 00:01:45,000 --> 00:01:54,000 have only been known for about 60. Now after that vast time of 2,500 million years required 17 00:01:54,000 --> 00:01:59,000 for intelligent beings to develop on Earth out of primitive chemicals, the time required 18 00:01:59,000 --> 00:02:05,000 to go from a condition where we had no knowledge at all of communication by means of electromagnetic 19 00:02:05,000 --> 00:02:12,000 radiation to the time now when we can transmit television pictures from Mars to Earth is less 20 00:02:12,000 --> 00:02:19,000 than 100 years. That same brief period has also covered the transition from no knowledge 21 00:02:19,000 --> 00:02:26,000 of powered flight to the launching of interplanetary probes and the transition from no knowledge 22 00:02:26,000 --> 00:02:33,000 of electronics to the construction of computers which near human thinking ability. I would 23 00:02:33,000 --> 00:02:38,000 like you to get this idea quite clear of a vast period during which development goes 24 00:02:38,000 --> 00:02:43,000 on at a very very slow rate and then a sudden enormous technological leap. What happens after 25 00:02:43,000 --> 00:02:51,000 that we don't know. First slide please. The picture is quite familiar to you I am sure 26 00:02:51,000 --> 00:02:59,000 the endometre medulla and the reason why I am showing it to you is because it is believed 27 00:02:59,000 --> 00:03:07,000 that if we were beings on a planet of a sun within that galaxy our own galaxy would look 28 00:03:07,000 --> 00:03:15,000 very much the same. It is of similar type. It contains something like 100,000 million 29 00:03:15,000 --> 00:03:25,000 stars and so does our own galaxy. We will see presently what this means in terms of the 30 00:03:25,000 --> 00:03:34,000 probability of life on other worlds. The next slide please. The idea of there being other 31 00:03:34,000 --> 00:03:41,000 beings at all and of there being life on them couldn't arise until people realise that the 32 00:03:41,000 --> 00:03:47,000 little bites of crops that you see in the sky and I can't pin holes in the floor of heaven 33 00:03:47,000 --> 00:03:56,000 but sounds like our own. Probably the earliest story about life on other worlds was that written 34 00:03:56,000 --> 00:04:03,000 by Plato a couple of thousand years ago and medieval ideas were largely affected by ignorance 35 00:04:03,000 --> 00:04:08,000 and the fact that between us and other worlds there is an airless gulf. The atmosphere doesn't 36 00:04:08,000 --> 00:04:13,000 continue so that this idea from the middle ages due to Bishop Godwin of flying to the 37 00:04:13,000 --> 00:04:19,000 moon by means of a set of train geese wasn't realised to be impactable at the time. Next 38 00:04:19,000 --> 00:04:27,000 one please. And Serano de Berverac who is better known for his swordsmanship than for his 39 00:04:27,000 --> 00:04:33,000 science fiction thought that it was possible by means of battles of dew which are lifted 40 00:04:33,000 --> 00:04:40,000 up by the sun's rays he believed to fly similarly and the astronaut was not going to be inconvenienced 41 00:04:40,000 --> 00:04:45,000 by having no air to breathe because he didn't know there would be no air for him to breathe. 42 00:04:45,000 --> 00:04:53,000 Next one please. A little further on you had this 16th century picture of life and it's 43 00:04:53,000 --> 00:05:07,000 not altogether irrelevant to our subject because the very great astronomer Kepler in his famous 44 00:05:07,000 --> 00:05:14,000 Somnium had the idea that the theops builder his mother was a witch and that she had flown 45 00:05:15,000 --> 00:05:23,000 to the moon in the conventional way. Next one please. This most of you will recognise from 46 00:05:23,000 --> 00:05:31,000 Jules Verne's very fine book of A Marriage to the Moon. It's of great interest to us 47 00:05:31,000 --> 00:05:40,000 now because at the time Verne was slated by the scientists for suggesting that you could 48 00:05:40,000 --> 00:05:45,000 use the projectile with a few hundred rates of gun cotton because quite apart from what 49 00:05:45,000 --> 00:05:50,000 would happen to the inhabitants of the projectile the projectile itself if given sufficient 50 00:05:50,000 --> 00:05:56,000 velocity to break away from our gravitational pull would be flattened and of course it's 51 00:05:56,000 --> 00:06:02,000 interesting to note now that Project Heart which is the Canadian scheme for launching 52 00:06:02,000 --> 00:06:09,000 satellites by means of an Aval gun shows every sign of being quite successful. Next one please. 53 00:06:09,000 --> 00:06:15,000 Finally you have the more conventional type of satellite launcher and I would just like 54 00:06:15,000 --> 00:06:23,000 at this point to suggest that in the 300 years between the time when it was thought that 55 00:06:23,000 --> 00:06:28,000 witches might fly to the moon on broomsticks to the development of this rocket there's been 56 00:06:28,000 --> 00:06:34,000 quite a change and that change may be reflected in the next 300 years. This thing may look 57 00:06:34,000 --> 00:06:41,000 just like a broomstick by then. Next please. Thank you. We are still a long way from having 58 00:06:41,000 --> 00:06:47,000 control of our environment but with current progress with rain making by the chemical 59 00:06:47,000 --> 00:06:53,000 seeding of clouds and the French work in the Sahara with the meteor from making artificial 60 00:06:53,000 --> 00:06:59,000 thunderstorms and tornadoes it seems improbable that the final attainment will take more than 61 00:06:59,000 --> 00:07:06,000 now the 100 years and after that unless the irresponsibility of our leaders holds us into 62 00:07:06,000 --> 00:07:12,000 a final free societal war it seems reasonable to look forward to a long time during which 63 00:07:12,000 --> 00:07:19,000 we can enjoy the mastery of ourselves and our planet. Earth will remain habitable for 64 00:07:19,000 --> 00:07:24,000 thousands of millions of years yet so if we look from the distant past to the distant 65 00:07:24,000 --> 00:07:31,000 future we see and I reiterate it that the change over from a non-technological society 66 00:07:31,000 --> 00:07:36,000 to one with complete mastery of its planet occupies but the twinkling of an eye in the 67 00:07:36,000 --> 00:07:42,000 process of developing life. The consequence of all this is that the possibility of our 68 00:07:42,000 --> 00:07:49,000 ever discovering or being discovered by a race of extraterrestrial beings in a similar 69 00:07:49,000 --> 00:07:56,000 way to our own is negligible. The phase of transition from no technology to mastery 70 00:07:56,000 --> 00:08:02,000 of interplanetary flight is so brief that it can be ignored in relation to the time for 71 00:08:02,000 --> 00:08:07,000 which a planet stays habitable. The only race which could discover us would be one of the 72 00:08:07,000 --> 00:08:12,000 commander spaceflight and therefore one of the highly developed technology. The only races 73 00:08:12,000 --> 00:08:16,000 which we could discover ourselves would be either those which have not yet invented 74 00:08:16,000 --> 00:08:22,000 machines or those which are tremendously advanced. It's more likely then that they will have 75 00:08:22,000 --> 00:08:29,000 discovered us first and they may have done so. The probability of finding life in the 76 00:08:29,000 --> 00:08:35,000 course of an interstellar exploration is obviously related to the time for which a community 77 00:08:35,000 --> 00:08:40,000 endures. One of the things we want to know is do they always destroy themselves within a 78 00:08:40,000 --> 00:08:45,000 few decades of discovering atomic energy or do they survive the phase through which we 79 00:08:45,000 --> 00:08:52,000 are now going when technology advances faster in human compassion and go on to sociological 80 00:08:52,000 --> 00:08:57,000 attainments which we can't conceive. I think that in view of the opportunities for the 81 00:08:57,000 --> 00:09:03,000 triumph of brute force over reason or even for the triumph of inanimate nature over 82 00:09:03,000 --> 00:09:08,000 organized life which have failed to prevent the evolution of man so far, that there is 83 00:09:08,000 --> 00:09:14,000 reason to hope that communities do continue to endure until in the course of astronomical 84 00:09:14,000 --> 00:09:22,000 ages their planet is engulfed in the death struggles of its sun. Next slide please. This 85 00:09:22,000 --> 00:09:29,000 many of you will recognize as being a Hertzsprung Russell diagram which gives the relationship 86 00:09:29,000 --> 00:09:36,000 between the stellar type shown at the bottom. You probably remember the full mnemonic for 87 00:09:36,000 --> 00:09:43,000 the types OBA fine girl kiss me right now sweetest. The important thing to note is that 88 00:09:43,000 --> 00:09:53,000 the relationship between mass and temperature and the next slide please. And this gives 89 00:09:53,000 --> 00:10:02,000 you the, um, the first years or areas in which life could develop on the planet surrounding 90 00:10:02,000 --> 00:10:12,000 a sun. Where you have these very small stars here stars like the five type. The only 91 00:10:12,000 --> 00:10:19,000 heat up a very small zone. On the other hand because of this and the relationship between 92 00:10:19,000 --> 00:10:26,000 and the rate at which a plant, a star is consumed and it's mass they last for quite a long time. 93 00:10:26,000 --> 00:10:35,000 Period on the main sequence here 100,000 million years for an M5 but it's only developing a 94 00:10:35,000 --> 00:10:40,000 habitable zone which is about the size of the orbit of Venus. It's really quite small. On 95 00:10:40,000 --> 00:10:45,000 the other hand when you come to some of the giant stars they develop a very large area 96 00:10:45,000 --> 00:10:50,000 indeed but their time on the main sequence is consequently so short that it's doubtful 97 00:10:50,000 --> 00:10:58,000 whether they could evolve life in the way in which it evolved upon Earth. Next please. 98 00:10:58,000 --> 00:11:05,000 Now when you consider these various factors together with others, ellipticity of orbits 99 00:11:05,000 --> 00:11:14,000 most stars that you see are not single stars or either binary or multiple and consequently 100 00:11:14,000 --> 00:11:20,000 you can't get a stable orbit for a planet unless either you've got the two stars fairly close together. 101 00:11:20,000 --> 00:11:26,000 The planet is travelling in an enormous orbit around both which means that it is probably going from a fairly hot 102 00:11:26,000 --> 00:11:31,000 phase when it's close to both of them to a cold phase when it's a long way out. Or it's pursuing 103 00:11:31,000 --> 00:11:38,000 some very complicated orbit like a figure of 8 in between 2 which is likely also to be highly unstable. 104 00:11:38,000 --> 00:11:44,000 When you consider all these it seems that only about 2% of multiple star systems could possibly 105 00:11:44,000 --> 00:11:52,000 have habitable planets. Only about 10% of single stars. About 67% of the stars you see are binary 106 00:11:52,000 --> 00:12:00,000 and multiple so it's fairly simple mathematics to get 4.5% of all visible stars as the maximum 107 00:12:00,000 --> 00:12:09,000 number which could have planets which might give rise to intelligent life. As we saw earlier 108 00:12:09,000 --> 00:12:16,000 the content of stars in the galaxy is about 100,000 million which is quite a few stars. 109 00:12:16,000 --> 00:12:25,000 So even on that basis with 100,000 million galaxies around the number of planets which could have 110 00:12:25,000 --> 00:12:34,000 habitable life as we know it developed in the way in which we know it is enormous. If we stick to our own 111 00:12:34,000 --> 00:12:39,000 galaxy which is the only one we're ever likely to know much about the number is still somewhere around 112 00:12:39,000 --> 00:12:50,000 4,000 million possible habitable planets. Now of these stars which may have planets like a 113 00:12:50,000 --> 00:12:58,000 some of them are very much older than the Sun. Some as much as 5,000 million years older 114 00:12:58,000 --> 00:13:05,000 a few possibly as much as 10,000 million years older and this means that if life developed upon 115 00:13:05,000 --> 00:13:10,000 their planets at the same rate that it developed here it could have been technologically in 116 00:13:10,000 --> 00:13:21,000 advance of ours long before we climbed out of the primeval seas. The thing is it implies that they might 117 00:13:21,000 --> 00:13:26,000 have been watching us long before we were capable of wondering whether we could watch anything at all. 118 00:13:26,000 --> 00:13:31,000 It's possible that as Arthur Cox addressed it in one of his books, aliens faced of their 119 00:13:31,000 --> 00:13:37,000 specials may have descended to Earth's service countless times in the course of the ages. 120 00:13:38,000 --> 00:13:45,000 I'm rather interested in how the surveillance would be carried out. We're not really in a position to imagine 121 00:13:45,000 --> 00:13:51,000 the achievements of a race that's head science and engineering for a few million years any more than a 122 00:13:51,000 --> 00:13:59,000 near end air tower could understand the international bank or atomic energy station. It is almost certain 123 00:13:59,000 --> 00:14:05,000 that if ancient races do exist they would already have linked themselves up in some kind of interstellar 124 00:14:05,000 --> 00:14:14,000 community. Next slide please. Earth as you know is somewhere out from the centre of the galaxy 125 00:14:14,000 --> 00:14:23,000 which is in the region of the constellation Sagittarius. So here's the sun with Earth and its other planets 126 00:14:23,000 --> 00:14:29,000 and here is a region near the centre of our galaxy where I've indicated possible inhabited planets 127 00:14:29,000 --> 00:14:36,000 which are in communication with radiation. It seems to me that it might be a profitable thing to do 128 00:14:36,000 --> 00:14:43,000 to see whether you could detect any radiation in that way. The chances of course are very slim 129 00:14:43,000 --> 00:14:49,000 because with any form of transmission that we know at present you've got to beam it pretty tightly 130 00:14:49,000 --> 00:14:54,000 in order to make it travel even a few light years. So the chances of picking up radiation due to 131 00:14:54,000 --> 00:15:03,000 side loads are very small. Next slide please. In the stars we can extrapolate current lines of 132 00:15:03,000 --> 00:15:10,000 progress it seems more likely the interstellar exploration which involves journeys of thousands of light 133 00:15:10,000 --> 00:15:21,000 years would be achieved by highly evolved machines rather than by a biological organism. Machines which 134 00:15:21,000 --> 00:15:29,000 are an allergy from our own Mars vehicles and that sort of thing but vastly more complex are going to be 135 00:15:29,000 --> 00:15:36,000 capable of analysing and photographing and recording and computing and finally transmitting back to their bases 136 00:15:36,000 --> 00:15:42,000 neatly documented surveys of everything they can pick up. The fingerprints of our newborn 137 00:15:42,000 --> 00:15:50,000 civilisation may in fact already be known to the records department of some vastly distant older race. 138 00:15:51,000 --> 00:15:57,000 Before considering the ways the other ways in which that surveillance could be conducted we have to realise that the 139 00:15:57,000 --> 00:16:05,000 ways vary according to the types of entity that wish to know about us. We have seen a high probability for 140 00:16:05,000 --> 00:16:11,000 man being non-unique as an intelligence in the universe but it doesn't imply that the other 141 00:16:11,000 --> 00:16:21,000 intelligences have to be like man. Although many animal lovers will claim a high order of intelligence for their 142 00:16:21,000 --> 00:16:29,000 pets the only really intelligent organism at present known to man is man. By intelligence we don't 143 00:16:29,000 --> 00:16:34,000 mean here the dictionary definition of intellectual understanding which doesn't get through any further. 144 00:16:34,000 --> 00:16:42,000 That's specifically a capacity for abstract thought. Within the compass of terrestrial scientific knowledge we can 145 00:16:42,000 --> 00:16:50,000 conceive the possibility of three groups of intelligent organism excluding man. Firstly humanoid or non-humanoid 146 00:16:50,000 --> 00:16:58,000 biological species, secondly mechanical intelligences and thirdly stable intelligent plasmids. 147 00:16:59,000 --> 00:17:07,000 Despite the claims of spiritualists psychic phenomena provide no evidence for the existence of disembodied intelligences. 148 00:17:07,000 --> 00:17:16,000 That is because these phenomena can all be explained equally well by alternative hypotheses based upon the powers of the 149 00:17:16,000 --> 00:17:26,000 human mind. We will now consider in some detail three classes of possible intelligent organism. 150 00:17:26,000 --> 00:17:34,000 First of all biological organisms. I thought it was very interesting that the 1964 meeting of the British Association, the opinions of 151 00:17:34,000 --> 00:17:42,000 the scientists there, quite a number of quite orthodox biologists who thought that baguette monsters were a lot more probable than 152 00:17:42,000 --> 00:17:53,000 humanoid species. Baguette monsters of course because an animal is only adapted to its environment, it's only successful if it is 153 00:17:53,000 --> 00:18:02,000 adapted to its environment, it's only adapted to its environment if it collages changes closely. Therefore if an organism, if a race has 154 00:18:02,000 --> 00:18:09,000 developed upon a planet vastly different to ours it will probably have developed a vastly different form of body. And since we always call a 155 00:18:09,000 --> 00:18:16,000 monster anything that isn't familiar to us, baguette monsters. If we make the assumption that within limits the physical 156 00:18:16,000 --> 00:18:24,000 properties of material are not the same wherever they occur then we can predict quite a lot of things. For example the limit to the 157 00:18:24,000 --> 00:18:31,000 height of a living creature is reached at the point where its legs can't support its weight. So in general the height of living organisms 158 00:18:31,000 --> 00:18:39,000 must vary inversely as the gravitational field of the planet. So you would expect giant planets to have animals which were something 159 00:18:39,000 --> 00:18:48,000 like armor plated tortoises with multiple legs and you would expect very small planets to have something like a cross between a giraffe and a jellyfish. 160 00:18:48,000 --> 00:18:57,000 These physical characteristics of biological organisms now bear a direct relationship to the possibility of the organisms being intelligent. 161 00:18:57,000 --> 00:19:07,000 Intelligent seems to be a function of the number of interconnections between the neurons of the brain. There is therefore a minimum number of neurons. 162 00:19:07,000 --> 00:19:17,000 And neurons themselves are quite complex things. They have to have a finite size. There is therefore a limit to the smallness of an intelligent organism. 163 00:19:17,000 --> 00:19:29,000 The brain of a man has somewhere around 10,000 million neurons all of a finite size. So it's unlikely that a really intelligent organism is going to be very much 164 00:19:29,000 --> 00:19:40,000 smaller than a man that might be larger within limits. But there are limits again here because for one thing of the finite velocity of propagation of nervous impulses, 165 00:19:40,000 --> 00:19:54,000 nervous impulses very somewhat in speed, that they are really quite slow. In a branch of source it must have taken about one and a half to two seconds for a message from its big toe to get up to its little pea sized brain 166 00:19:54,000 --> 00:20:04,000 and say, how is somebody nibbling me? So by retiring a message we got back from the brain to big toe to say, well get out of it silly, the toe wasn't there. 167 00:20:04,000 --> 00:20:10,000 This probably had something to do with the branch of source dying off. 168 00:20:10,000 --> 00:20:17,000 Now, all of this means then that there are very definite limits to the size of an organism. It can't be too big, it can't be too small. 169 00:20:17,000 --> 00:20:31,000 Two other factors which come into limited size. The square cube ratio, the clinical exchange which can take place on surfaces, that is the absorption of food from the gut or respiration in the lung, 170 00:20:31,000 --> 00:20:42,000 is proportional to the square of the size of the organ. The total energy which the animal consumes is proportional to its bulk and this is the cube of the size of the organism. 171 00:20:42,000 --> 00:20:49,000 Clearly then, as you go up in size it gets more and more difficult for you to get enough energy quick enough to keep you going. 172 00:20:49,000 --> 00:20:56,000 So we expect that biological organisms are going to be within our fairly limited range of sizes. 173 00:20:56,000 --> 00:21:08,000 There are other requirements for intelligence. You need sensory organs to get data about your environment. You need motor organs in order to react back upon the environment. 174 00:21:08,000 --> 00:21:22,000 Coming to senses, we have five well known ones and in addition to that we have senses which relate to movement, position, acceleration, pain, pressure and temperature. 175 00:21:22,000 --> 00:21:31,000 If I ask any of you at this moment to think much of big toe on the right hand side feels like you know whether it's hot or cold, whether you were thinking about it before or not. 176 00:21:31,000 --> 00:21:35,000 You've got a temperature sense. It's not normally counted as a sense but it's quite real. 177 00:21:35,000 --> 00:21:42,000 Also if this whole room started to rotate rapidly you would know it. This is your sense of acceleration. 178 00:21:42,000 --> 00:21:55,000 When you do the on-man you start looking at some of the other animals on earth. They have senses which make one dog or the elasmapranx which includes the sharks, rays and dogfish. 179 00:21:55,000 --> 00:22:01,000 I have some little organs known as the ampulli of Lorenzini and these are voltage detectors. 180 00:22:01,000 --> 00:22:14,000 Now they're pretty good. The gill movements of a common place generate voltage gradients of the order of about a thousandth of a volt per centimeter. 181 00:22:14,000 --> 00:22:21,000 The organs of Lorenzini can detect something about a million times weaker than this. 182 00:22:21,000 --> 00:22:34,000 This means that a place can bury itself completely in the sand and a shark swimming by within about ten meters, thirty feet, can detect it because of the total voltage is given up by its gill muscles. 183 00:22:34,000 --> 00:22:44,000 And this is by no means the most remarkable. Mad snails and planarians have built in magnetic compasses. 184 00:22:44,000 --> 00:22:49,000 Bees and king crabs can detect the plane of polarisation of polarised light. 185 00:22:49,000 --> 00:22:59,000 Lipid wrappers including rattlesnakes are extremely sensitive to heat. They can detect a few hundredths of a degree so they can strap a warm-blooded prey in the dark. 186 00:22:59,000 --> 00:23:04,000 The eyes of a common snail are sensitive to X-rays so is the nose of a cat. 187 00:23:04,000 --> 00:23:09,000 Bees and butterflies cannot see red but they can see ultraviolet. 188 00:23:10,000 --> 00:23:19,000 So in addition to these senses possessed by various creatures but not by men, there are undoubtedly lots of others which we haven't even yet thought of. 189 00:23:19,000 --> 00:23:29,000 And the sort of collection of senses and motor organs which perfectly realistic creatures on another planet might have, 190 00:23:29,000 --> 00:23:34,000 they probably exceed anything the science fiction writer can dream up. 191 00:23:34,000 --> 00:23:40,000 Limbs, whilst a convenience for locomotion, are also a requirement for intelligence. 192 00:23:40,000 --> 00:23:50,000 The story of man's early travels to intelligence was the story of his travel to develop hands and then to free himself from the need to walk on them so he could use some of the tools. 193 00:23:50,000 --> 00:24:01,000 It's interesting the number of limbs employed by higher forms of life has stayed around for an awful long time, although the insects have tried anything from six to a few hundredths. 194 00:24:04,000 --> 00:24:08,000 Now, biological to mechanical intelligences. 195 00:24:08,000 --> 00:24:12,000 Twenty years ago, electronic computers were almost unknown. 196 00:24:12,000 --> 00:24:15,000 To do it, they were used by tens of thousands. 197 00:24:15,000 --> 00:24:25,000 They are dealing with everything from routine addition and subtraction to advanced accountancy, astronomical calculations and the economic planning of all industries. 198 00:24:25,000 --> 00:24:35,000 The latest machines, although they're still in the experimental stage, not only think for themselves, but in some cases think better than we tend. 199 00:24:35,000 --> 00:24:44,000 I won't go into the arguments now for describing what a machine does its thinking, except that I do believe that if a machine can't think neither can we. 200 00:24:44,000 --> 00:24:51,000 But I would like to show you a slide briefly. Some of you will have seen it in other worlds than ours. 201 00:24:52,000 --> 00:25:00,000 And this is a very frequent reaction to the suggestion that a machine can be intelligent. 202 00:25:00,000 --> 00:25:05,000 I call it the encounter of mechanical intelligence with human rage. 203 00:25:06,000 --> 00:25:08,000 Lightspeers. 204 00:25:11,000 --> 00:25:21,000 In spite of the evidence, whenever mechanical intelligence is discussed, there are strong emotional denials that machines can ever think creatively. 205 00:25:21,000 --> 00:25:28,000 But our brains are relatively barely organized, they are inaccurate and they're slow. 206 00:25:28,000 --> 00:25:36,000 They won't even evolve for the purpose of abstract thought, or for the pursuit of elusive concepts like truth, beauty and goodness. 207 00:25:36,000 --> 00:25:42,000 They were developed slowly over millions of years as a product of the struggle for survival. 208 00:25:42,000 --> 00:25:52,000 As Lord Balfour put it, our brains are essentially a food-finding system, therefore no more necessarily truth-finding than the snout of a pig. 209 00:25:52,000 --> 00:25:59,000 It's very well to bear these things in mind when we think about the problem of how long it's going to be before we build mechanical minds. 210 00:25:59,000 --> 00:26:09,000 Particularly since we now build mechanical muscles, bulldozers, that sort of thing, millions of times stronger than we are. 211 00:26:09,000 --> 00:26:14,000 The next thing is machines millions of times more intelligent. 212 00:26:14,000 --> 00:26:20,000 Most of the work on the early design of machines was done by a teacher to play games. 213 00:26:20,000 --> 00:26:25,000 The chest is particularly suitable. It's a microcosm of human struggles. 214 00:26:25,000 --> 00:26:29,000 It has its own hierarchy, rules, aims, logic. 215 00:26:29,000 --> 00:26:38,000 And the first chest-playing machine was this one, built in 1769 by Baron Wolfgang von Kempelheim. 216 00:26:38,000 --> 00:26:45,000 You can see the chest-player here. It's a life-size figure of a turk. There's the board. 217 00:26:45,000 --> 00:26:49,000 Under here you can see some sort of mechanism. It doesn't make a lot of sense. 218 00:26:49,000 --> 00:26:54,000 The machine is alleged never to have been beaten in the 80 years that it was around. 219 00:26:54,000 --> 00:26:58,000 It played against Mara Theresa and against Napoleon and beat both of them. 220 00:26:58,000 --> 00:27:04,000 It was possibly a thorn. Edgar Allen Poe suggested it was operated by a legless dwarf, 221 00:27:04,000 --> 00:27:08,000 as he couldn't imagine anything else that would be small enough to get in. 222 00:27:08,000 --> 00:27:15,000 And it was only the fact that other people had objected that stopped Edgar Allen Poe saying a totally limitless dwarf, 223 00:27:15,000 --> 00:27:18,000 which of course would appear to him more. 224 00:27:18,000 --> 00:27:21,000 The next slide, please. 225 00:27:21,000 --> 00:27:32,000 Now, Baron Kempelheim's robot makes a bit more sense if you consider it in comparison with the machines of its time. 226 00:27:32,000 --> 00:27:44,000 Around about 1740, the brothers Brots in Switzerland produced a series of animated dolls, which this is one. 227 00:27:44,000 --> 00:27:50,000 These were wound up and you press the button and the thing then started to write, 228 00:27:50,000 --> 00:27:55,000 I am Jan Brots. I am five years of age. I like to play the spin it. 229 00:27:55,000 --> 00:28:00,000 And various other things, making a total in all of about 60 lines, 230 00:28:00,000 --> 00:28:06,000 written in a very nice copper plate handwriting, at the end of which it shook the impetus pen and switched itself off. 231 00:28:06,000 --> 00:28:10,000 Now, for 200 years ago, that's not bad. 232 00:28:10,000 --> 00:28:13,000 The next slide, please. 233 00:28:13,000 --> 00:28:27,000 A big jump forward to 1914 when the senior Torres Cabrado, who was the director of the automation laboratory of Madrid, 234 00:28:27,000 --> 00:28:34,000 first showed this machine, which could win most games of chess against a human player. 235 00:28:34,000 --> 00:28:39,000 When I say that it could only play a limited game of chess, it couldn't use a full range of pieces. 236 00:28:39,000 --> 00:28:43,000 It could just play a king and a rook against a king. 237 00:28:43,000 --> 00:28:50,000 And it's not too difficult to push your opponent into a corner and finally beat him. 238 00:28:50,000 --> 00:28:52,000 Thank you. 239 00:28:52,000 --> 00:28:56,000 Lights. 240 00:28:56,000 --> 00:29:03,000 So today, there are numerous electronic computers which are able to program themselves. 241 00:29:03,000 --> 00:29:08,000 That is to say, they play a game of chess and when they make a move that doesn't pay off, they remember this. 242 00:29:08,000 --> 00:29:12,000 When they make a move which does pay off, they remember this. 243 00:29:12,000 --> 00:29:17,000 They then substitute this move in their memory bank for the unsuccessful one and play it next time. 244 00:29:17,000 --> 00:29:19,000 This isn't too difficult. 245 00:29:19,000 --> 00:29:27,000 It does give you an inkling, however, of how a machine can progress towards something which simulates intelligence. 246 00:29:27,000 --> 00:29:36,000 The rate of progress in less than 200 years from Baron Ron Kempelins, according to Edgar Allen Poglieland, chess player, 247 00:29:36,000 --> 00:29:44,000 to our electronic computers, which can beat their designers, is fairly typical of the advance of modern technology. 248 00:29:44,000 --> 00:29:53,000 I've got a slide here which on a rather arbitrary scale shows you what's going on. 249 00:29:53,000 --> 00:30:02,000 Starting up here with Ron Kempelins here and going on through the machines of the Bardo to the first machine 250 00:30:02,000 --> 00:30:07,000 for playing noughts and crosses, produced at NPL and on... 251 00:30:07,000 --> 00:30:12,000 I think it's fair to say that the rate of progress, as in so many things, is exponential. 252 00:30:12,000 --> 00:30:18,000 And where this is going to leave us in a few hundred years time, again, your guess is as good as mine. 253 00:30:18,000 --> 00:30:20,000 Next, please. 254 00:30:22,000 --> 00:30:29,000 It is possible, too, that a new phase of evolution is already beginning here, mechanical evolution. 255 00:30:29,000 --> 00:30:36,000 It could be that the change from biological evolution to mechanical evolution 256 00:30:36,000 --> 00:30:43,000 will prove to be of greater importance than the change which took place when we went over from chemical evolution to biological, 257 00:30:43,000 --> 00:30:46,000 two and a half thousand million years ago. 258 00:30:46,000 --> 00:30:53,000 It is even possible, conceiving the idea of similar biological races on other worlds, 259 00:30:53,000 --> 00:31:00,000 that whenever the biological organism gets to a stage at which it can begin to understand its own physiology, 260 00:31:00,000 --> 00:31:05,000 it starts to plan to improve upon it and to make mechanical replacements. 261 00:31:06,000 --> 00:31:10,000 The report from the New York Memorial Hospital about two years ago now 262 00:31:10,000 --> 00:31:16,000 of surgeons cutting a man in half from the ribs down and fitting him with an artificial crump, 263 00:31:16,000 --> 00:31:20,000 pair of his hand legs, points to one way in which this sort of thing is going. 264 00:31:20,000 --> 00:31:27,000 And the Russian experiments of about the same period of keeping alive and supposedly conscious a monkey brain, 265 00:31:27,000 --> 00:31:30,000 points to another way. 266 00:31:30,000 --> 00:31:37,000 There is another game which could lead computers to rule in the world if you don't watch out, 267 00:31:37,000 --> 00:31:40,000 and that is real-life monopoly. 268 00:31:40,000 --> 00:31:45,000 It won't be very long before political leaders realize, as scientists did quite a long time ago, 269 00:31:45,000 --> 00:31:53,000 that machines of superhuman thinking ability can be built and that they could completely alter human existence. 270 00:31:53,000 --> 00:31:57,000 The new nation which put out the tremendous effort, and it would be a big effort, 271 00:31:57,000 --> 00:32:00,000 to produce a mechanical minister. 272 00:32:01,000 --> 00:32:09,000 We're going to get a fair return for its money, and that means it would use it to the maximum capability, 273 00:32:09,000 --> 00:32:13,000 that would use it for the most complicated thing known to man, apparently, 274 00:32:13,000 --> 00:32:16,000 that is making political decisions. 275 00:32:16,000 --> 00:32:20,000 Any restriction to the range of data that you supply to the mechanical minister 276 00:32:20,000 --> 00:32:24,000 would limit his ability to make effective political decisions. 277 00:32:24,000 --> 00:32:32,000 But if you don't place any restrictions, then you surrender the control of your country to a machine. 278 00:32:33,000 --> 00:32:38,000 Of course the other side is doing the same, and it ends up with the machine fighting the machine. 279 00:32:38,000 --> 00:32:42,000 If they've got any sense, they're not going to get involved, they'll just put the men in, 280 00:32:42,000 --> 00:32:44,000 and we'll be back to where they are now. 281 00:32:44,000 --> 00:32:46,000 It depends how you plan it. 282 00:32:46,000 --> 00:32:51,000 If you've listened to the fine robots theorizers at Asimov, 283 00:32:51,000 --> 00:32:57,000 you will build into all your machines, a class one rule, that you must never do anything to hurt people. 284 00:32:57,000 --> 00:33:02,000 And secondly, if someone does get hurt, you minimize it. 285 00:33:02,000 --> 00:33:06,000 So they would figure out that wars were going to be down-bared things all the way around, 286 00:33:06,000 --> 00:33:10,000 and perhaps they would work it out the way that we should have worked our pages down, 287 00:33:10,000 --> 00:33:13,000 just to play it out at not some crosses. 288 00:33:15,000 --> 00:33:20,000 Another thing about mechanical life, one of the arguments aimed against the possibility 289 00:33:20,000 --> 00:33:28,000 of such a thing, reproduction, usually thought of as something exclusively biological, isn't. 290 00:33:28,000 --> 00:33:31,000 It's a phenomenon of wide occurrence. 291 00:33:31,000 --> 00:33:39,000 It is something which begins to take place in all dynamic systems of more than a certain very high degree of complexity. 292 00:33:39,000 --> 00:33:41,000 You see this well in chemistry. 293 00:33:42,000 --> 00:33:48,000 The problem, and American engineers are already working on it, is to program a machine, 294 00:33:48,000 --> 00:33:55,000 to make another machine like itself, and to equip the new machine with a copy of the instructions so it can go on. 295 00:33:55,000 --> 00:33:57,000 Slide please. 296 00:34:00,000 --> 00:34:04,000 And of course, one of them is saying to the other one, I wonder where it will all end. 297 00:34:07,000 --> 00:34:09,000 Lights please. 298 00:34:09,000 --> 00:34:26,000 John von Neumann was the first mathematician to find out that it is theoretically possible for a computer to design a better computer than itself, 299 00:34:26,000 --> 00:34:30,000 and for the two of them then to get together and design a third. 300 00:34:30,000 --> 00:34:37,000 And this is a way in which mechanical evolution could follow closely on the heels of mechanical interactions. 301 00:34:37,000 --> 00:34:42,000 And now for the third form of intelligence, stable intelligent plasmoids. 302 00:34:42,000 --> 00:34:44,000 A plasma is an ionized gas. 303 00:34:44,000 --> 00:34:52,000 That is to say, it is an aggregation of ionized and neutral molecules and atoms together with free electrons. 304 00:34:52,000 --> 00:34:56,000 And it is possible for such a system to store large amounts of energy. 305 00:34:56,000 --> 00:34:58,000 Plasmas are not a new discovery. 306 00:34:58,000 --> 00:35:06,000 Every time you look at a neon tube, you see a plasma, and all the old fashioned wireless valves which are now given place to transistors 307 00:35:06,000 --> 00:35:08,000 had plasma in them. 308 00:35:08,000 --> 00:35:16,000 The properties of plasmas were based upon two discoveries made by the same chap nearly 400 years ago, 309 00:35:16,000 --> 00:35:20,000 William Gilbert, the physician between Elizabeth I. 310 00:35:20,000 --> 00:35:24,000 In 1600, Gilbert found that an electrically charged metal knob, 311 00:35:24,000 --> 00:35:27,000 and usage of charge, when it brought near to a flame. 312 00:35:27,000 --> 00:35:33,000 That's a plasma property that a hot gas, which is an ionized gas, can conduct electricity. 313 00:35:33,000 --> 00:35:40,000 And Gilbert is also a member of the first man to carry out systematic experiments on magnetism. 314 00:35:40,000 --> 00:35:45,000 And so you get the name magnetotasmodynamics phenomena, 315 00:35:45,000 --> 00:35:49,000 which is a scientific way of complicating things and describing the action of plasma 316 00:35:49,000 --> 00:35:55,000 as the induced combined action of electrical charges and magnetism. 317 00:35:55,000 --> 00:35:59,000 How can a ball of hot ionized gas be stable? 318 00:35:59,000 --> 00:36:04,000 Well, at present we don't know the answer, but that they can be stable is abundantly proven. 319 00:36:04,000 --> 00:36:08,000 For one thing, natural ball lightning, thunderbolts, 320 00:36:08,000 --> 00:36:15,000 have frequently been observed to persist for 5 or 10 minutes at on rare occasions for more than a quarter of an hour. 321 00:36:15,000 --> 00:36:24,000 A study of magnetically confined plasmas was made at the University of California in their radiation laboratory about nine or possibly 10 years ago now. 322 00:36:24,000 --> 00:36:31,000 They made bone-actuate plasmoids, which they shot magnetically out of the ground at 120 miles an hour. 323 00:36:31,000 --> 00:36:37,000 And although they moved so fast, they could be photographed at a high speed camera. 324 00:36:37,000 --> 00:36:45,000 It was one of the first experiments in a chain of research going on in America with a double purpose. 325 00:36:45,000 --> 00:36:54,000 If you can produce artificial ball lightning, you've solved two things which are quite important militarily at any rate. 326 00:36:54,000 --> 00:36:58,000 The first one, the ultimate weapon. 327 00:36:58,000 --> 00:37:06,000 Artificial ball lightning, if it's anything like natural ball lightning, could result in shooting an almost massless charge 328 00:37:06,000 --> 00:37:14,000 with an energy content at the rate of something like 400 pounds of TNT for the finger size of a football. 329 00:37:14,000 --> 00:37:19,000 It would also, of course, solve the problem of limitless cheap power. 330 00:37:19,000 --> 00:37:26,000 When your donor cell is preparing a year on electricity, this is the sort of thing that thermonuclear power promises you. 331 00:37:26,000 --> 00:37:31,000 And the answer to both would be contained in the production of artificial ball lightning. 332 00:37:31,000 --> 00:37:33,000 Next slide, please. 333 00:37:34,000 --> 00:37:40,000 This is a reproduction of a drawing from a 100-year-old book. 334 00:37:40,000 --> 00:37:42,000 A little more than that, actually. 335 00:37:42,000 --> 00:37:44,000 A Ragoe sur le planer. 336 00:37:44,000 --> 00:37:54,000 And it shows a lightning strike on a conductor and the formation of three lightning beams at the end of the strike. 337 00:37:54,000 --> 00:37:57,000 Next one, please. 338 00:37:58,000 --> 00:38:11,000 This is a photograph, repeatedly taken in a world in Switzerland in 1907, and supposed to be of a lightning ball of about five feet in diameter. 339 00:38:11,000 --> 00:38:13,000 Next one, please. 340 00:38:14,000 --> 00:38:28,000 This is the Bendix Corporation in the States apparatus for the production of small artificial lightning balls or plasmas. 341 00:38:28,000 --> 00:38:37,000 They use a conventional radar, the energy of which is concentrated into a partly-evectuated tube. 342 00:38:37,000 --> 00:38:50,000 And when you're getting a nice output of energy into that conducting gas, they suddenly reduce the pressure in the chamber and you then get a lightning ball formed. 343 00:38:50,000 --> 00:38:52,000 Next, please. 344 00:38:54,000 --> 00:38:56,000 For now, we're going to ask, where does the intelligence come in? 345 00:38:56,000 --> 00:38:59,000 And I have to admit that it hasn't at the moment. 346 00:38:59,000 --> 00:39:06,000 But Dr. Kenneth Scholders of Stanford Research Institute in the States is working on this. 347 00:39:06,000 --> 00:39:17,000 The United States Navy had commissioned him to produce a very compact computer, run with 100,000 million components per cubic inch. 348 00:39:17,000 --> 00:39:22,000 In other words, about a thousand times more effective than the human brain. 349 00:39:22,000 --> 00:39:33,000 They hope that by making it smaller like this, it will be able to record information at the rate of 10,000 million primary units per second. 350 00:39:33,000 --> 00:39:37,000 Now, Dr. Scholders' first model is going to be something fairly ordinary. 351 00:39:37,000 --> 00:39:43,000 It's going to be conducting strips of molybdenum on an aluminium oxide base and it's going to run at red heat. 352 00:39:43,000 --> 00:40:01,000 But then, he's working already on the long-term project, which is to use the plasma in which electrons and ions whirling in a matrix of magnetic fields will store the information, the information being proportional to charge density. 353 00:40:01,000 --> 00:40:08,000 So, you have the possibility now of a computer which consists of nothing but a mass around ours, guess. 354 00:40:08,000 --> 00:40:14,000 So, it seems that there's another bit of science fiction likely to come true. 355 00:40:14,000 --> 00:40:17,000 Most of you will remember Fred Hoyle's Black Cloud. 356 00:40:17,000 --> 00:40:29,000 And the suggestion now is that instead of it coming from the direction of the constellation of Iran, it's going to come out of a North American university. 357 00:40:29,000 --> 00:40:35,000 Now, we consider three types of intelligent organism which might exist in other parts of the universe. 358 00:40:35,000 --> 00:40:41,000 We now have to consider the means which they would have to employ in order to make contact. 359 00:40:41,000 --> 00:40:44,000 The first is direct visitation. 360 00:40:44,000 --> 00:40:52,000 We can begin by noting that alleged sightings have reported entities which could be any of the types of intelligent organism discussed. 361 00:40:52,000 --> 00:40:58,000 Among the reports, every year we have humanoid and semi-humanoid species. 362 00:40:58,000 --> 00:41:06,000 I guess which could be described as humanoid robots, though I don't see what advantage a machine gets by making it look like a human being unless it does the job properly. 363 00:41:06,000 --> 00:41:13,000 And also things like willow the wisp, meteors, barrels of fire, all of which could be plasma intelligences. 364 00:41:13,000 --> 00:41:18,000 Next two slides please. 365 00:41:18,000 --> 00:41:23,000 One of them and the next one. 366 00:41:23,000 --> 00:41:36,000 Both of these are from a book on physics written about 120 years ago by Dr Dionysius Ladner who described these things as slow-moving meteorites. 367 00:41:36,000 --> 00:41:41,000 Without a lot more evidence, it's very difficult to say what they are. 368 00:41:41,000 --> 00:41:50,000 They don't appear from the descriptions to have been berylite or marsh gas, and for the want of anything else, I would think the most descriptive term is unidentified flower object. 369 00:41:50,000 --> 00:41:55,000 Next please. 370 00:41:55,000 --> 00:42:05,000 As for the means of transportation, we will try and simplify matters by discarding right at the start all transcendental devices of science fiction. 371 00:42:05,000 --> 00:42:13,000 That is, we are not going to have automatic dematerialization and rematerialization by a totally unspecified ray. 372 00:42:13,000 --> 00:42:23,000 We are not going to have doors through a hypothetical higher dimension or hyperdrives which permit velocities in excess of light. 373 00:42:23,000 --> 00:42:31,000 So the distant entities, whether they use their own bodies to space ships or employ vehicles for the purpose, 374 00:42:31,000 --> 00:42:42,000 so machines with no reason why they shouldn't use themselves, are going to be limited by the velocity of light and perhaps even more severely by problems of acceleration and deceleration. 375 00:42:42,000 --> 00:42:55,000 And it's also probable, even with machines, that as for human astronauts, there are limitations set by the need to minimize sensory deprivation and social deprivation. 376 00:42:55,000 --> 00:43:11,000 It's quite important to notice here that the recent work on sensory deprivation suggests that unless your means for analyzing external data and sorting it and working on it is more or less constantly employed, it very rapidly deteriorates. 377 00:43:12,000 --> 00:43:20,000 The probability of visits from communities at more than a few hundred light years from Earth becomes very small then under these conditions. 378 00:43:20,000 --> 00:43:31,000 Even a visit from our own galactic center and at a velocity of one half that of light, that is 335 million miles an hour, would require 100,000 years. 379 00:43:32,000 --> 00:43:39,000 Now we can't conceive even a machine. No machine has yet been built on Earth which continues around for that length of time. 380 00:43:39,000 --> 00:43:47,000 So he progressed long before, let alone by our legible organisms with their life spans at most of around about 100 years. 381 00:43:47,000 --> 00:43:55,000 It would be an unwarrantable dogmatism to assert that such marriages will always be impossible. 382 00:43:56,000 --> 00:44:01,000 But I do think they're so highly improbable as not to justify speculation. 383 00:44:01,000 --> 00:44:10,000 In the light of present day science and technology it seems very unlikely that it will ever be possible for men to visit worlds more than a few light years away. 384 00:44:10,000 --> 00:44:18,000 Or for man-made machines to visit worlds at more than a few tens of light years. Except on a one-way ticket. 385 00:44:19,000 --> 00:44:29,000 Redland is the prospect for advanced communities being situated within a few light years from Earth and of them finding us or of us finding them. 386 00:44:29,000 --> 00:44:30,000 Next slide please. 387 00:44:33,000 --> 00:44:44,000 One of the things that is fairly obvious, the number of communities on the assumption that they are distributed more or less uniformly throughout the galaxy as a whole, 388 00:44:44,000 --> 00:44:53,000 is that they go up as the cubists of radius. In other words, as your radius of search goes up from 10 to 100 to a thousand light years, 389 00:44:53,000 --> 00:44:58,000 the number that you are likely to find goes up from round about zero to round about a million. 390 00:44:58,000 --> 00:45:05,000 If you are going to go into this drop at all, it's worth building a machine with lots of power in it. 391 00:45:05,000 --> 00:45:07,000 Next slide please. 392 00:45:08,000 --> 00:45:17,000 And this is the sort of thing with which of course we are thinking of doing it, the Jobville Bank radio telescope at present engaged on other work. 393 00:45:17,000 --> 00:45:26,000 Though we shouldn't forget the Project Osmo, which was the first serious attempt made by scientists to detect messages coming from other worlds, 394 00:45:26,000 --> 00:45:34,000 was really originated at the suggestion from Cacione and Morrison that Jobville Bank should be used for the job. 395 00:45:34,000 --> 00:45:35,000 Next slide please. 396 00:45:37,000 --> 00:45:39,000 So we come to remote communications. 397 00:45:39,000 --> 00:45:51,000 Project Osmo was the name given to the attempt by Dr. Frank Drake of West Virginia to detect intelligent signals from Epsilon Eridani. 398 00:45:53,000 --> 00:45:58,000 I think that was the one that he concentrated on, but Paul said it was the other one he was interested in. 399 00:45:58,000 --> 00:46:06,000 The name of the project Osmo of course comes from Queen Osmo, who was the queen of the land of Oz in the storybook, 400 00:46:06,000 --> 00:46:13,000 which was very, very far away, very difficult to reach and full of wonderful and delightful things, and knows that name for the project. 401 00:46:13,000 --> 00:46:19,000 They used an 85 foot radio telescope fitted with the very latest receiving apparatus. 402 00:46:19,000 --> 00:46:25,000 They worked on it for about three months, during which they had done about 150 hours of actual listening in. 403 00:46:25,000 --> 00:46:31,000 They terminated in May 1961 when after recalculating they found that it wouldn't have worked anyway. 404 00:46:31,000 --> 00:46:42,000 They based it on the assumption that the people at the other end were using a telescope of at least the size of the job at all banks, 405 00:46:42,000 --> 00:46:50,000 and they were working on the assumption that a transmitted power of 160 megawatts per megacycle was enough. 406 00:46:51,000 --> 00:46:54,000 Fresh calculations indicate that it probably isn't. 407 00:46:54,000 --> 00:47:00,000 You're going to need a radio telescope of something like 500 feet to make it work under those conditions. 408 00:47:00,000 --> 00:47:02,000 This isn't impossible. 409 00:47:05,000 --> 00:47:09,000 Now we come to the problem of how to carry on a two-way exchange of information. 410 00:47:09,000 --> 00:47:15,000 It's too complex to be gone into in detail, but there are some schemes which overturn the worst difficulties. 411 00:47:15,000 --> 00:47:20,000 The only real problem is how to get information across at any speed at all. 412 00:47:20,000 --> 00:47:21,000 There are two aspects. 413 00:47:21,000 --> 00:47:26,000 The first is that if you reduce the amount of information, the number of bits as an engineer would say, 414 00:47:26,000 --> 00:47:35,000 which you want to transmit in unit time, it's easier to get a good signal-to-noise ratio, and so get a bigger range for a given power. 415 00:47:35,000 --> 00:47:40,000 The second is that for anything like a conversation, you've got this enormous difficulty, 416 00:47:40,000 --> 00:47:44,000 that you've got to wait for your message to get to a distant star and come back. 417 00:47:44,000 --> 00:47:51,000 If you consider Torsetian Exand Arodani, which is what Project Osmo was listening to, 418 00:47:51,000 --> 00:47:56,000 and there are the nearest stars likely to be able to support life as we know it, 419 00:47:56,000 --> 00:47:59,000 it takes 21 years for a simple question and answer. 420 00:47:59,000 --> 00:48:02,000 This is worth some getting somebody to marry you. 421 00:48:02,000 --> 00:48:07,000 With planets that still are greater distances, it gets quite ludicrous, 422 00:48:07,000 --> 00:48:11,000 and you can't hope to get more than one or two questions across in a lifetime. 423 00:48:11,000 --> 00:48:16,000 So all you can do then is to transmit an account of your own civilization, 424 00:48:16,000 --> 00:48:21,000 and hope that the people the other side will take it in and send you an account back of theirs. 425 00:48:21,000 --> 00:48:24,000 This is the way in which it suggests that it should be done. 426 00:48:24,000 --> 00:48:25,000 Next slide, please. 427 00:48:25,000 --> 00:48:30,000 I think most of you have seen it, you're probably familiar with it, but I'll go over it. 428 00:48:30,000 --> 00:48:36,000 This represents, once the pulses zeroes the spaces, they all occupy a unit of time. 429 00:48:36,000 --> 00:48:39,000 We'll say it's a second, it doesn't have to be. 430 00:48:39,000 --> 00:48:41,000 And it goes... 431 00:48:45,000 --> 00:48:47,000 and so on until it reaches the end. 432 00:48:47,000 --> 00:48:51,000 Then there's a gap, and after a fair time you repeat it. 433 00:48:51,000 --> 00:48:54,000 The idea is that if you go on doing this long enough, some will say, 434 00:48:54,000 --> 00:48:58,000 it's funny, you know, but that series of puzzles always sounds very much the same. 435 00:48:58,000 --> 00:49:00,000 Supposedly tape it down. 436 00:49:00,000 --> 00:49:04,000 And when you tape it down, you find out that it comes out to a number, 437 00:49:04,000 --> 00:49:09,000 which is the product of two primes, in this case 19 by 11. 438 00:49:09,000 --> 00:49:13,000 And again, you reckon that it is not a terribly bright thing, but you'll say, 439 00:49:13,000 --> 00:49:17,000 well, let's arrange it in 11 rows of 19 or 19 rows of 11. 440 00:49:17,000 --> 00:49:22,000 One way you get this, which doesn't mean much, the other way you get that, which is quite suggestive. 441 00:49:22,000 --> 00:49:26,000 Very suggestive to us, might still be quite suggestive to another race. 442 00:49:26,000 --> 00:49:29,000 Now, of course, you can go on further on this basis. 443 00:49:29,000 --> 00:49:33,000 If they can work out the product of two primes, they can work out the product of three. 444 00:49:33,000 --> 00:49:39,000 And this means that you can send a set of instructions to make a three-dimensional object, 445 00:49:39,000 --> 00:49:42,000 that you could turn out a bull, a banjo, or a bicycle. 446 00:49:42,000 --> 00:49:44,000 If you thought it would be instructive for them. 447 00:49:44,000 --> 00:49:46,000 Right, please. 448 00:49:47,000 --> 00:49:51,000 I think this is the more likely way of going about it. 449 00:49:51,000 --> 00:49:54,000 I call it ambassadorial liaison. 450 00:49:54,000 --> 00:50:00,000 The Nessar organisation in the States is now working on plans for the Mars exploratory vehicles. 451 00:50:00,000 --> 00:50:05,000 Roughly, they hope to put pretty large satellites in orbit around Mars, 452 00:50:05,000 --> 00:50:12,000 and to drop vehicles onto the Martian service that are not fast or to the size of a London double-decker bus, 453 00:50:12,000 --> 00:50:17,000 and which are fully equipped with automatic apparatus for soil sampling, 454 00:50:17,000 --> 00:50:27,000 the detection of bacteria, and all the other things which give you anything as to whether there is whatever has been left on the surface. 455 00:50:27,000 --> 00:50:37,000 So, we're within striking distance now of a pretty colossal technological feat. 456 00:50:37,000 --> 00:50:42,000 What the other people might be doing could be Mars in advance. 457 00:50:42,000 --> 00:50:49,000 If we accept this probability of innumerable other habitable worlds, many of them drastically older than our own, 458 00:50:49,000 --> 00:50:55,000 then we have to accept the idea that there could be probes around already, 459 00:50:55,000 --> 00:51:00,000 which are vastly more complex than anything that's yet on our drawing boards. 460 00:51:02,000 --> 00:51:08,000 It seems very likely, too, that the way a more advanced race would go about it, 461 00:51:08,000 --> 00:51:12,000 even if it was so advanced that it consisted of one giant mechanical mine, 462 00:51:12,000 --> 00:51:19,000 would not be to go on these explorations itself, but to build lots of probes and pump them out. 463 00:51:19,000 --> 00:51:26,000 A very good way would be for these probes to go into a system that it wanted some information about, 464 00:51:26,000 --> 00:51:32,000 and to listen out for any sign of organised radiation indicating that lab was there. 465 00:51:32,000 --> 00:51:37,000 It could then copper the radiation, amplify it, and send it back again. 466 00:51:37,000 --> 00:51:45,000 And this would give some indication that there was something up there that could detect messages and do this. 467 00:51:45,000 --> 00:51:50,000 Subsequently, if it got useful information, it would take it, 468 00:51:50,000 --> 00:51:59,000 and on this process of using high-pulse powers and long intervals, it would slowly transmit it back to its base. 469 00:52:00,000 --> 00:52:06,000 Now, the 68-dollar question here is, have there any evidence for anything like it? 470 00:52:06,000 --> 00:52:08,000 And we may have. 471 00:52:08,000 --> 00:52:16,000 Forty years ago, Sturmer and Vanderpoel, who were both distinguished engineers in the then relatively new field of radio, 472 00:52:16,000 --> 00:52:20,000 reported powerful and long-delayed echoes from radio stations, 473 00:52:20,000 --> 00:52:24,000 echoes for which at that time there was no explanation at all. 474 00:52:24,000 --> 00:52:29,000 They were looking for squeakers, they were sending out a pulse, listening to go round Earth, 475 00:52:29,000 --> 00:52:32,000 they should get seven echoes back in a second. 476 00:52:32,000 --> 00:52:36,000 What they were getting was a desigrate echo after eight seconds. 477 00:52:37,000 --> 00:52:39,000 There was no explanation. 478 00:52:39,000 --> 00:52:45,000 Today, apparatus capable of producing these echoes is familiar to all microwave engineers. 479 00:52:45,000 --> 00:52:50,000 It closely caught to the public about the time of the U-2 incident. 480 00:52:50,000 --> 00:52:56,000 Military aircraft like that are equipped with apparatus which listens out for enemy radars. 481 00:52:56,000 --> 00:52:58,000 It coppers their characteristics. 482 00:52:58,000 --> 00:53:01,000 It amplifies the interrogating signal. 483 00:53:01,000 --> 00:53:03,000 It distorts them suitably. 484 00:53:03,000 --> 00:53:05,000 Then we radiate them. 485 00:53:05,000 --> 00:53:10,000 Certainly interrogating station gets the impression of an aircraft which is a lot nearer than it really is, 486 00:53:10,000 --> 00:53:12,000 and over there, not over there. 487 00:53:12,000 --> 00:53:15,000 So all the guns start poking up in the wrong direction. 488 00:53:16,000 --> 00:53:20,000 Now, quite clearly, space probes could use similar equipment. 489 00:53:20,000 --> 00:53:24,000 But not with a view to military deception, but a simple statement which says, 490 00:53:24,000 --> 00:53:28,000 here I am, I can analyse and copy your signals, ain't I a bright boy? 491 00:53:28,000 --> 00:53:31,000 Would you like to send me more information? 492 00:53:31,000 --> 00:53:35,000 Well, Stoner and Vanderpoel made just have missed such an opportunity, 493 00:53:35,000 --> 00:53:39,000 and the visiting probes would then have gone on to other planetary systems, 494 00:53:39,000 --> 00:53:44,000 having reported back to their base that there was radio emission from the planet Earth, 495 00:53:44,000 --> 00:53:48,000 that it was a census jumble like that which we get from Jupiter. 496 00:53:49,000 --> 00:53:52,000 This brings us to another interesting possibility, 497 00:53:52,000 --> 00:53:57,000 that the emission from planets like Jupiter and Venus is only crazy natural. 498 00:53:57,000 --> 00:54:02,000 That is to say, that they are caused by something like the artificial control of weather, 499 00:54:02,000 --> 00:54:07,000 and that they have been given permanence and form by the artefies of intelligent beings. 500 00:54:08,000 --> 00:54:13,000 Visiting space probes which found evidence of communities just emerging from savagery, 501 00:54:13,000 --> 00:54:17,000 just starting on the long struggle towards technological development. 502 00:54:18,000 --> 00:54:23,000 Mike set up a repeater station, hoping that when the local race was intelligent enough, 503 00:54:23,000 --> 00:54:26,000 it would decode the message and then reply. 504 00:54:26,000 --> 00:54:31,000 So it is quite possible that the various phenomena which we accept as entirely natural, 505 00:54:31,000 --> 00:54:34,000 are in fact artificially induced. 506 00:54:34,000 --> 00:54:39,000 Radio emanations from Jupiter, in particular, are very peculiar, 507 00:54:39,000 --> 00:54:44,000 because instead of being incoherent outbursts of radio energy, which was the original idea, 508 00:54:44,000 --> 00:54:48,000 they would address things like gigantic thunderstorms in the Jodian atmosphere, 509 00:54:48,000 --> 00:54:54,000 they are now known to occur as tightly defined beams of frequency modulated waves, 510 00:54:54,000 --> 00:54:58,000 so that they are a lot more like a radio lighthouse than a natural noise source. 511 00:54:59,000 --> 00:55:00,000 Jupiter? 512 00:55:03,000 --> 00:55:08,000 I don't know whether we can see it, but you can just see it on this picture. 513 00:55:08,000 --> 00:55:11,000 We've got the familiar red spot there, 514 00:55:11,000 --> 00:55:19,000 and here you've got a faint shadow, which is the shadow of EO, the third largest satellite. 515 00:55:19,000 --> 00:55:27,000 And the interesting thing is that it seems to be EO, which carries out the modulation of the Jodian radio waves. 516 00:55:27,000 --> 00:55:35,000 How it does it, we don't know, but the waves always modulate when there is a particular angular relationship 517 00:55:35,000 --> 00:55:38,000 between Jupiter's magnetic field and the position of EO. 518 00:55:39,000 --> 00:55:41,000 Next, a lattice. 519 00:55:43,000 --> 00:55:49,000 And perhaps two, while we're looking around at things like the radio emanations from Jupiter and Venus, 520 00:55:49,000 --> 00:55:53,000 we ought to pay more attention to the Lagrange nodes. 521 00:55:54,000 --> 00:55:59,000 These are the five points in space in the vicinity of every pair of celestial bodies, 522 00:55:59,000 --> 00:56:02,000 where there is zero gravitational potential. 523 00:56:02,000 --> 00:56:08,000 If you are not familiar with the idea, and these are two celestial bodies, 524 00:56:08,000 --> 00:56:13,000 you have a zero here, where the gravitational field balance. 525 00:56:13,000 --> 00:56:18,000 You also have another zero on each side of the two primary bodies, 526 00:56:18,000 --> 00:56:25,000 and two further narrows on either side of the point intermediate between the two bodies. 527 00:56:25,000 --> 00:56:31,000 These nodes were predicted by the mathematician, Joseph Lagrange, about 200 years ago, 528 00:56:31,000 --> 00:56:37,000 and it's only recently that evidence has been produced to suggest that they have a real existence. 529 00:56:37,000 --> 00:56:45,000 That is, that radio echoes have been found implying certainly a concentration of space dust at these points. 530 00:56:45,000 --> 00:56:50,000 A small probe, of course, would not be distinguishable from a space dust at that distance. 531 00:56:50,000 --> 00:56:58,000 And in fact, Saturn machine could be lying out there, waiting for the appropriate signal to start up its recorded message. 532 00:56:59,000 --> 00:57:07,000 Right, that finishes the review of scientific evidence for the possibility of something. 533 00:57:07,000 --> 00:57:12,000 And I now want to go on to my own ideas about parapsychology. 534 00:57:13,000 --> 00:57:15,000 Can I have a slide, please? 535 00:57:18,000 --> 00:57:23,000 This, in the time of Louis Cartour's, was the idea of a ghost. 536 00:57:23,000 --> 00:57:31,000 We don't see many ways to have got very far away from it, that the inhabitants of other worlds were so far in advance of us. 537 00:57:31,000 --> 00:57:38,000 When I say other worlds now, I'm not talking about other worlds in the astronomical sense, but in the spiritual sense, 538 00:57:38,000 --> 00:57:43,000 that they haven't got anything better to do than to tweak our bedclothes on and try and try and ask. 539 00:57:43,000 --> 00:57:45,000 Right, please. 540 00:57:47,000 --> 00:57:48,000 Right, please. 541 00:57:49,000 --> 00:57:50,000 Thank you. 542 00:57:50,000 --> 00:57:51,000 Thank you. 543 00:58:20,000 --> 00:58:27,000 But in the way and at the time desired by the sitters, by means of a code of signals they could give answers to questions. 544 00:58:27,000 --> 00:58:35,000 There are plans and messages obtained in this way were trivial, but they sometimes revealed facts known to only one of the sitters. 545 00:58:35,000 --> 00:58:39,000 Five, the phenomenon required arbitrary conditions. 546 00:58:39,000 --> 00:58:46,000 It was noted that, above all, the presence of certain people seemed to be necessary to their production, while others seemed to it. 547 00:58:46,000 --> 00:58:51,000 But it didn't seem to depend upon the belief or skepticism of the people in question. 548 00:58:51,000 --> 00:58:58,000 Nevertheless, the production of phenomena could not be guaranteed by the presence or absence of any particular person. 549 00:58:58,000 --> 00:59:07,000 The committee was quite unanimous on this, but there were various other matters such as the alleged apparitions of hands and faces, 550 00:59:07,000 --> 00:59:15,000 spontaneous playing of musical instruments, apparent invulnerability of some persons to injuries by red-hot cold, 551 00:59:15,000 --> 00:59:20,000 accrups of various objects, and the prediction of future events they couldn't agree on. 552 00:59:20,000 --> 00:59:22,000 Slide, please. 553 00:59:23,000 --> 00:59:35,000 This is a photo of Kula Bucks, which is quite a classical name in the field of far walking, as he appeared at the car show in Saturday, 1946. 554 00:59:36,000 --> 00:59:46,000 I make no further statement about far walking, except that it seems to depend very much upon the mind of the individual, 555 00:59:46,000 --> 00:59:51,000 more than playing around with things like alum and sulfuric acid on the feet, 556 00:59:51,000 --> 00:59:57,000 because at all the modern demonstrations there have always been university students present who are willing to have a go. 557 00:59:57,000 --> 01:00:03,000 A proportion of them always get over unscathed, and a proportion of them always get burnt, as I'm sure I would. 558 01:00:03,000 --> 01:00:05,000 Slide, please. 559 01:00:08,000 --> 01:00:18,000 Well, after a hundred years, during which psychical research has increased to an enormous extent, it is deflating to admit that there's been very little real progress. 560 01:00:20,000 --> 01:00:28,000 The books on psychical research, published in large numbers, are mainly devoted either to summoning the faithful with the rallying cry 561 01:00:28,000 --> 01:00:34,000 that where there have been several thousand years of spiritualist smoke there must be metaphysical fire, 562 01:00:34,000 --> 01:00:41,000 or else to attempt to debunk the whole thing by pointing to the admittedly numerous cases of fraud. 563 01:00:43,000 --> 01:00:48,000 Now, there are six possibilities behind the paranormal. 564 01:00:49,000 --> 01:00:56,000 One, the skeptical interpretation, which says it's all fraud and philocyberal, as Dr. Priestley puts it, a lot of boss. 565 01:00:57,000 --> 01:01:04,000 The negative attitude isn't Dr. Priestley's, by the way, he regards such an attitude as stupid, bigotry, and dangerously unscientific, 566 01:01:04,000 --> 01:01:08,000 but it is the view of a very large group of orthodox scientists. 567 01:01:08,000 --> 01:01:16,000 Two, the theory of natural anomalies. This postulates that the paranormal occurs, that it is utterly without significance. 568 01:01:16,000 --> 01:01:21,000 It is a sport, a statistical fluke, an exception which proves the rule. 569 01:01:21,000 --> 01:01:24,000 To my mind, that's just nonsense. 570 01:01:24,000 --> 01:01:30,000 Three, scientific monism. This suggests that paranormal phenomena are genuine, 571 01:01:30,000 --> 01:01:35,000 but they belong to an order of physical occurrences beyond the scope of present-day science. 572 01:01:35,000 --> 01:01:41,000 With further advances in science, the paranormal will become normal, as the laws recognized by science 573 01:01:41,000 --> 01:01:47,000 become more representative of nature as she is, instead of as the scientist thinks she ought to be. 574 01:01:47,000 --> 01:01:52,000 This theory then provides justification for serious investigational phenomena, 575 01:01:52,000 --> 01:01:58,000 and it has the merit that in course of time something will be proved, whether it is popular or not. 576 01:01:58,000 --> 01:02:04,000 Four, the theory of substantial dualism, which asserts that paranormal events occur, 577 01:02:04,000 --> 01:02:09,000 that belong to an order of mental events, which cannot be explained by physical science. 578 01:02:09,000 --> 01:02:15,000 Then we have the synchronicity theory of Jung. This is the most difficult theory to follow. 579 01:02:15,000 --> 01:02:19,000 It supposes that paranormal events are not based on the causal principle, 580 01:02:19,000 --> 01:02:24,000 but rather based upon any kind of parameternal mind-matter interaction. 581 01:02:24,000 --> 01:02:30,000 Paranormal events, according to Jung, are events connected by an e-cursal principle. 582 01:02:30,000 --> 01:02:33,000 I hope you can understand it. I can't. 583 01:02:33,000 --> 01:02:35,000 Jung, please. 584 01:02:35,000 --> 01:02:43,000 You may also remember Jung for his book about unidentified flying objects. 585 01:02:43,000 --> 01:02:51,000 It seems to have changed his mind once or twice, but by and large his assertion has been that they are wishful thinking. 586 01:02:51,000 --> 01:02:56,000 That seems to be the basic thing, although it is tied up in rather more complicated languages, 587 01:02:56,000 --> 01:03:03,000 to being the necessity for the belief in something a down-site wiser and more stable than we are. 588 01:03:03,000 --> 01:03:06,000 Like, please. 589 01:03:06,000 --> 01:03:10,000 Finally, we have the supernatural interpretation. 590 01:03:10,000 --> 01:03:15,000 Paranormal phenomena are caused or mediated by disembodied intelligences. 591 01:03:15,000 --> 01:03:20,000 Spirits, ghosts or what have you. They are supernatural and beyond both reason and explanation. 592 01:03:20,000 --> 01:03:24,000 That's much the simplest one. Anyone want to stick to it? 593 01:03:24,000 --> 01:03:30,000 Now, it's only a personal opinion, but of the six possible theories, only two seem worthy to me, 594 01:03:30,000 --> 01:03:34,000 that scientific monism and substantial dualism. 595 01:03:34,000 --> 01:03:39,000 The second of these, although it involves a difficulty which has puzzled philosophers throughout the ages, 596 01:03:39,000 --> 01:03:44,000 that is, how to explain the interaction of physical and non-physical entities, 597 01:03:44,000 --> 01:03:52,000 has the advantage that it is obviously suited to deal with the one special peculiarity of paranormal phenomena. 598 01:03:52,000 --> 01:03:59,000 Often overlooked, which is that they are almost invariably connected in some way with a human being. 599 01:03:59,000 --> 01:04:08,000 Scientific monism, on the other hand, has the advantage that it can be backed up by the whole army of organized science. 600 01:04:08,000 --> 01:04:12,000 Now, there are two parapsychological phenomena. 601 01:04:12,000 --> 01:04:18,000 They are the names of prosopod pieces and idioplasty, which we'll get used to before long if you don't know them already, 602 01:04:18,000 --> 01:04:26,000 which no matter how erroneous they may be in theory, are such valuable concepts that you couldn't get on far without them. 603 01:04:26,000 --> 01:04:33,000 Prosopod pieces is a word derived from the Greek prosopos, a theatrical costume or a stage character. 604 01:04:33,000 --> 01:04:40,000 It's used to denote any sudden change, whether induced or spontaneous, in an individual's personality. 605 01:04:40,000 --> 01:04:47,000 Sometimes people take leave of their usual personality and assume an utterly different one. 606 01:04:47,000 --> 01:04:54,000 They may lose their memory, their character may be completely changed, they may take a new name, they may hold new ideas. 607 01:04:54,000 --> 01:04:59,000 The new personality may remember the old one, but speak of it as if it were a complete stranger. 608 01:04:59,000 --> 01:05:08,000 The change from Dr. Ducal to Mr. Hyde or the other way round may be ephemeral, or it may be a crazy stable state and last for years. 609 01:05:08,000 --> 01:05:13,000 Despite the name derivation, it is not a question of play-acting. 610 01:05:13,000 --> 01:05:18,000 It is not a question of the person taking on a role for reasons best known to himself. 611 01:05:18,000 --> 01:05:21,000 It is a genuine change in the personality. 612 01:05:21,000 --> 01:05:25,000 It is a phenomenon that has been known for thousands of years. 613 01:05:25,000 --> 01:05:30,000 It is one which has been intensively studied since the beginning of this century. 614 01:05:30,000 --> 01:05:35,000 The name by which the phenomenon was known in the past was of course possession. 615 01:05:35,000 --> 01:05:42,000 And this must not be confused in any way with Schizophrenia, which although the name suggests a splitting of the personality, 616 01:05:42,000 --> 01:05:50,000 only involves a splitting away of the emotions from the rest of the personality, from the rational sentiments. 617 01:05:50,000 --> 01:06:00,000 And this together with hallucinatory tendencies leads to grotesque changes in the personality, but it is still the same person. 618 01:06:00,000 --> 01:06:03,000 Three slides, please. 619 01:06:03,000 --> 01:06:09,000 The first one here I think is rather delightful. Can you sharpen the focus a little? 620 01:06:09,000 --> 01:06:13,000 That's better. 621 01:06:13,000 --> 01:06:20,000 This is a 16th century painting of the 4th century Saint Xenobius. 622 01:06:20,000 --> 01:06:26,000 And can you see the little demons which he is exorcising from the mouths of his patients? 623 01:06:26,000 --> 01:06:32,000 And these are the little beings who speak with many tongues. 624 01:06:32,000 --> 01:06:35,000 The next slide, please. 625 01:06:35,000 --> 01:06:43,000 In Schizophrenia we have a change in the personality which causes the individual to see the world differently. 626 01:06:43,000 --> 01:06:49,000 This is one of the 20th century painter Louis Wayne's pictures of pussycats. 627 01:06:49,000 --> 01:06:56,000 There's a whole series of them. The first one is quite an obvious picture of a pussycat like you or I might draw. 628 01:06:56,000 --> 01:07:02,000 Then he goes on to this furry beast and the last one looks more like a dailier than a pussycat. 629 01:07:02,000 --> 01:07:13,000 The interesting thing of course is that this is precisely the sort of thing, is precisely the sort of view of the world which Schizophrenia appears to have when he speaks to you. 630 01:07:13,000 --> 01:07:19,000 And it also seems to be the sort of thing which one sees in a psychedelic experience. 631 01:07:19,000 --> 01:07:24,000 And it is also the sort of thing that you produce under the influence of drugs like mescaline. 632 01:07:24,000 --> 01:07:27,000 Next slide, please. 633 01:07:27,000 --> 01:07:37,000 Just in case you should think it's anything new, this painting is by the famous 15th century, a Romamous Bosch. 634 01:07:37,000 --> 01:07:41,000 This is his idea of hell, I can well believe it. 635 01:07:41,000 --> 01:07:56,000 And incidentally, of course, it is a very well known Schizophrenic characteristic that the victim believes that his body is transparent and that he can see inside it. 636 01:07:56,000 --> 01:08:08,000 It is alleged, I think there is a good deal of evidence for it, that in many cases they have the paranormal ability to diagnose their own diseases although they have no medical knowledge. 637 01:08:08,000 --> 01:08:15,000 But certainly they do have a great preoccupation with their own bodies as this person appears to have. 638 01:08:15,000 --> 01:08:17,000 Next, please. 639 01:08:18,000 --> 01:08:20,000 Now, idioplasty. 640 01:08:20,000 --> 01:08:27,000 The personalities which manifest themselves as seemingly new psychological individuals in process of pieces, 641 01:08:27,000 --> 01:08:37,000 arise from a central idea which has either been implanted by a suggestion on the part of a hypnotist or infrajected as an axi-auto suggestion. 642 01:08:37,000 --> 01:08:47,000 The term was coined by Durand of Gros about 1800 to denote the implantation of ideas in minds made receptive by hypnosis. 643 01:08:47,000 --> 01:08:53,000 And later, Akhorevits used the word to mean the physiological realisation of an idea. 644 01:08:53,000 --> 01:08:58,000 Idioplasty has for centuries been thought to occur during gestation. 645 01:08:58,000 --> 01:09:15,000 Kalk Kozol published an account in 1922 illustrated with photographs which were never proved to be fakes of a cat whose kittens were marked with a date and some stars which were printed on a sack on which the mother was lying. 646 01:09:15,000 --> 01:09:19,000 The markings were formed by groups of black hairs on a white background. 647 01:09:19,000 --> 01:09:22,000 An older example occurs in the Bible in Genesis. 648 01:09:22,000 --> 01:09:32,000 And Jacob took him rods of green poplar and of the hazelnut and chestnut trees and he pulled white streaks in them and he made the white appear which was in the rods. 649 01:09:32,000 --> 01:09:41,000 And he set the rods which he had pulled before the flocks in the gatters, in the watering crops, when the flocks came to drink, that they should conceive when they came to drink, 650 01:09:41,000 --> 01:09:48,000 and the flocks conceived before the rods and they brought forth cattle, winged streaks, speckled and spotted. 651 01:09:48,000 --> 01:09:55,000 A more recent medical example is the following. A 25 year old woman was two months pregnant. 652 01:09:55,000 --> 01:10:03,000 She was badly frightened by her two year old son nearly cutting off his left thumb, the member hanging only by a shred of flesh. 653 01:10:03,000 --> 01:10:08,000 She was in the backwood, she had no one to assist her. She'd rest the injury as best she could. 654 01:10:08,000 --> 01:10:16,000 Her mind constantly dwelt on the subject and in due course she gave birth to a boy whose left thumb hung from his hand by a pedicle of flesh. 655 01:10:16,000 --> 01:10:23,000 This was published in 1910 in the Journal of the State Medical Association of Tennessee. 656 01:10:23,000 --> 01:10:28,000 There aren't many similar cases in the medical journals. 657 01:10:28,000 --> 01:10:37,000 The foregoing all relates to an idea manifesting as a bodily change. The stigmata of the saints are precisely similar. 658 01:10:37,000 --> 01:10:46,000 But the concept of idiopastigos a lot further than this, it proposes that where there is no physiological mechanism to materialize the implanted idea, 659 01:10:46,000 --> 01:10:52,000 where you're really aching to do something that there's no way by which you can bring it about normally, 660 01:10:52,000 --> 01:11:01,000 or where the mechanism is inhibited from working, as in the case of a medium, has been strapped down to her chair so she can't move, 661 01:11:01,000 --> 01:11:06,000 then the idea still tries to manifest itself paranormally. 662 01:11:06,000 --> 01:11:17,000 Thus, the levitation of objects beyond a medium's reach, or the apportation of objects from other rooms, are supposed to take place by some sort of action at a distance. 663 01:11:17,000 --> 01:11:24,000 This notion is both too crude and too far-fetched to win scientific support without a great deal of observational evidence, 664 01:11:24,000 --> 01:11:31,000 but something of the kind may occur, and idiopastig in a more limited sense definitely does seem to occur. 665 01:11:31,000 --> 01:11:35,000 Incidentally, I'd like to give you my opinion on levitation. 666 01:11:42,000 --> 01:11:46,000 The cartoon is due to Charles Adams. I think it's absolutely delightful. 667 01:11:50,000 --> 01:11:51,000 Lights, please. 668 01:11:55,000 --> 01:12:02,000 There are many ways in which the concepts of precipitices and idiopastig are related to the subject of unidentified flying objects. 669 01:12:02,000 --> 01:12:10,000 For the start, precipitices, particularly in the form of rapidly alternating personalities such as we have studied, 670 01:12:10,000 --> 01:12:15,000 clearly has a bearing on the so-called contactee experiences. 671 01:12:15,000 --> 01:12:19,000 Nothing all of them, but there's a group which you can definitely recognize it. 672 01:12:19,000 --> 01:12:22,000 There is one very interesting application. 673 01:12:22,000 --> 01:12:29,000 Charles Bowen pointed out to me some time ago that there are lots of instances where observers report seeing an object, 674 01:12:29,000 --> 01:12:37,000 supposedly a spacecraft, swoop down as if it's going to land, and it passes behind a hill or a wood or something like this, at a little distance. 675 01:12:37,000 --> 01:12:44,000 Within a minute or less, long before the observers have had a chance to get themselves together and approach the landing site, 676 01:12:44,000 --> 01:12:46,000 figures are seen approaching. 677 01:12:46,000 --> 01:12:51,000 They're stereotyped. They are usually dwarfs or giants and often described as peary. 678 01:12:51,000 --> 01:12:57,000 Usually there is no encounter, sometimes an exchange of signals is reported, 679 01:12:57,000 --> 01:13:00,000 and then the visitors turn back towards their ship. 680 01:13:00,000 --> 01:13:05,000 Instantly, the minute they disappear from view, the ship is seen to take off. 681 01:13:05,000 --> 01:13:12,000 As Mr. Bowen has remarked, this odd cycle of events has been reported too many times to be casually dismissed. 682 01:13:12,000 --> 01:13:14,000 There has to be a mechanism for it. 683 01:13:15,000 --> 01:13:17,000 Well, you may suggest your own. 684 01:13:17,000 --> 01:13:25,000 Mine is that some of the reported landings are genuine, but I think they're the routine sample collection crypts of robot probes. 685 01:13:25,000 --> 01:13:32,000 This seems to me by far the most likely thing, that whatever the state of technology of other races is going to be, 686 01:13:32,000 --> 01:13:35,000 you'll find their probes long before you find them. 687 01:13:35,000 --> 01:13:40,000 But the craft which visit Earth are the creations of arse superior beings. 688 01:13:40,000 --> 01:13:45,000 Their science does embrace a good deal of what is still parisant to us. 689 01:13:45,000 --> 01:13:52,000 Suppose then that in addition to radars which can listen for our emanations and send back false signals to confuse our tracking stations, 690 01:13:52,000 --> 01:13:55,000 and there seems to be evidence for this. 691 01:13:55,000 --> 01:13:59,000 Suppose they have equipment which can track our thoughts. 692 01:13:59,000 --> 01:14:06,000 The landing vehicle then receives from a group of human beings some confused thoughts something like this, a flying saucer, fear, 693 01:14:06,000 --> 01:14:10,000 perhaps they're giants or hairy monsters. Let's run for it. 694 01:14:10,000 --> 01:14:14,000 Where no sooner received than the reflected thought images on its way, 695 01:14:14,000 --> 01:14:21,000 the human observers are met by visions of precisely the kind of alien creature they most feared to see. 696 01:14:21,000 --> 01:14:26,000 As soon as the craft has finished its job, which it's at a collecting soil cell, this is only a minute or so, 697 01:14:26,000 --> 01:14:30,000 they lift the fear barrier and the creatures disappear. 698 01:14:31,000 --> 01:14:41,000 Another obvious application of these parapsychological principles is to be a notion of an elite in our midst. 699 01:14:41,000 --> 01:14:48,000 Demygods of normal human descent are perhaps infiltration by the beings of an extraterrestrial race. 700 01:14:48,000 --> 01:14:55,000 The usual reaction to these ideas, at least on the part of orthodox psychologists, is that they are schizophrenic. 701 01:14:55,000 --> 01:15:03,000 And certainly it is a common schizophrenic symptom to believe that one is constantly in the presence of beings who are visible to oneself alone, 702 01:15:03,000 --> 01:15:06,000 and who command one's every action. 703 01:15:06,000 --> 01:15:10,000 In olden times these were thought of as demon familiars from the infernal to regions, 704 01:15:10,000 --> 01:15:14,000 and today sometimes they're thought of as the pilot supplying sources. 705 01:15:14,000 --> 01:15:18,000 But what about the people who claim extraordinary after-the-body experiences, 706 01:15:18,000 --> 01:15:22,000 or position by the minds of extraterrestrial beings? 707 01:15:22,000 --> 01:15:34,000 Idioclasti and Proscipti pieces here explain how a central compelling idea that of a race of supermen who will save mankind from his own homicidal stupidity 708 01:15:34,000 --> 01:15:40,000 can produce subsidiary or alternate personalities with the reported characteristics. 709 01:15:40,000 --> 01:15:43,000 But where does the central idea come from? 710 01:15:43,000 --> 01:15:47,000 I'd now like to show another small group of slides. 711 01:15:47,000 --> 01:15:49,000 First one, please. 712 01:15:50,000 --> 01:16:04,000 This is a modern psychologist attempt to estimate the intelligence of a number of outstanding people. 713 01:16:04,000 --> 01:16:13,000 As it's been projected back to front, I can't read them at the moment, but I'll give them to you, because I've also gotten them noted on my script. 714 01:16:13,000 --> 01:16:15,000 The next one, please. 715 01:16:17,000 --> 01:16:19,000 This is very interesting. 716 01:16:19,000 --> 01:16:27,000 It's one of the drawings of heliocopters made by Leonardo da Vinci, and the date for it is somewhere around 1500. 717 01:16:27,000 --> 01:16:29,000 Next, please. 718 01:16:29,000 --> 01:16:35,000 This is also very interesting, because it's taken from a painting of that time. 719 01:16:35,000 --> 01:16:45,000 It's just a detail from a large canvas, and it shows what is obviously a child's toy helicopter produced by pulling a string. 720 01:16:45,000 --> 01:16:56,000 Until I saw this, I never had any realization that these things which you used to be able to go and buy in Woolworth were in fact 400 years old, nearly 500 years old. 721 01:16:56,000 --> 01:16:58,000 Next one, please. 722 01:16:58,000 --> 01:17:13,000 And this, many of you will recognize, is the common Sangamang, about whom I don't propose saying anything more in the moment, except that in connection with this idea of an elite, this is perhaps the most outstanding character of all. 723 01:17:14,000 --> 01:17:25,000 You probably know that Bernard de Fontanel was supposed from the age of 45 until he died on his 100th birthday, never to have aged visibly. 724 01:17:25,000 --> 01:17:35,000 But the common Sangamang did very much better than that, because according to the historical records, he seems to have stayed at about middle age over a period of very nearly 200 years. 725 01:17:35,000 --> 01:17:39,000 You can definitely trace him over a period of about 17. 726 01:17:40,000 --> 01:17:46,000 This could just be a freak of human longevity. It could be something else. That's please. 727 01:17:48,000 --> 01:18:00,000 Yes, over that group of people that you saw, there was the car estimated at 19 of 150, Luther 170, Kent 175, Newton 190, Gertrude 210. 728 01:18:00,000 --> 01:18:10,000 Notes are at 165, Gertrude 190, Da Vinci 180, Galileo 185. We reckon we're doing damn well if we knock out 140. 729 01:18:10,000 --> 01:18:22,000 There certainly are, even if it is only a purely human manifestation, there certainly are among us a subspecies very different from the general one. 730 01:18:23,000 --> 01:18:31,000 The audio-plastic and proselytical piece is then can explain this compelling idea of a race of supermen. 731 01:18:31,000 --> 01:18:41,000 But is this idea picked up from others in the course of our workaday lives, or are we all, as some people believe, in contact with each other at a subliminal level? 732 01:18:41,000 --> 01:18:49,000 And if there is a universal unconscious telepathy between men, then why not between men and other intelligences? 733 01:18:49,000 --> 01:19:01,000 And perhaps the Russians are right, and their attempts to develop telepathy as a cheap and effective way of communication between Earth and the Moon is more realistic than things like the abortive attempt to Project Osma. 734 01:19:01,000 --> 01:19:18,000 It could be that many of the strange mental disturbances which we put down to madness, genius, historical dissociation, or just plain drunkenness on a Saturday night, are the early stirrings of idioplastic concepts produced by cosmic telepathy. 735 01:19:18,000 --> 01:19:30,000 On the subject of telepathy, I would like to show you just three slides. I'm not going into any further, you'll find this dealt with in detail in the next issue of the Flying Salsa Review. 736 01:19:30,000 --> 01:19:32,000 Next one, please. 737 01:19:33,000 --> 01:19:37,000 This little page is precisely what it appears to be. 738 01:19:37,000 --> 01:19:44,000 A metal page can sharpen up the both just a little bit, with inside of a bed and some apparatus. 739 01:19:44,000 --> 01:19:46,000 And it is that? Thank you. 740 01:19:46,000 --> 01:19:53,000 News by the Russian Professor Vasiliy, who's done a great deal of work on telepathy. 741 01:19:53,000 --> 01:20:00,000 In his experiment, the chapter he was being experimented upon didn't know that he was engaged in a telepathic experiment. 742 01:20:00,000 --> 01:20:08,000 He thought that he was carrying out a routine medical examination. He had to squeeze a bulb with one hand, and try and keep up a regular rhythm. 743 01:20:08,000 --> 01:20:16,000 Meanwhile, unknown to him, away in another room, some spooky bloke was trying to do a Houdini on him, saying, go to sleep, go to sleep. 744 01:20:16,000 --> 01:20:21,000 And he was marking down on the tape the times at which he made his suggestions. 745 01:20:21,000 --> 01:20:26,000 The chapter was squeezing the bulb, unknown he was marking down on the tape his own efforts. 746 01:20:26,000 --> 01:20:34,000 And the thing was to find whether there was a coincidence between the attempt of the hypnotist to put him to sleep, and the time at which he did fall asleep. 747 01:20:34,000 --> 01:20:40,000 Because if the experiment went on long enough, he always fell asleep. Sometimes took a long while. 748 01:20:40,000 --> 01:20:43,000 Next slide please. 749 01:20:43,000 --> 01:20:51,000 In America, Dr. Duren has been carrying out some remarkable experiments on telepathy. This isn't Dr. Duren. 750 01:20:51,000 --> 01:21:04,000 He had rather similar apparatus. What he did in fact was to control the alpha rhythm of his brain. We can all do this. 751 01:21:04,000 --> 01:21:15,000 If our eyes are open or shut, there's a difference in our alpha rhythm. If we think about a problem, such as something complicated like twice two, our alpha rhythm is immediately reduced. 752 01:21:15,000 --> 01:21:22,000 If we think of something really complicated, such as nine times nine times nine, it's quite suppressed for a moment or so. 753 01:21:22,000 --> 01:21:32,000 So Duren figured that he could pick up this change in his alpha rhythm since it easily appears on an electron-kephalograph, and end-perfect to do useful things. 754 01:21:32,000 --> 01:21:39,000 So then he found this work quite nicely. He could think or not think and switch the lights on or open the door for his car. 755 01:21:40,000 --> 01:21:49,000 This pussycat, which has nothing to do with that, is one of a series of experiments which have been conducted by Israeli scientists. 756 01:21:49,000 --> 01:22:02,000 So if you can measure an animal's reactions without the difficulty of having lots of electrical wires trailing all over the place, this little cat can transmit certain physiological stimulus, 757 01:22:02,000 --> 01:22:06,000 and then transmit by the temperatures, blood pressure and so on, back to base. 758 01:22:06,000 --> 01:22:15,000 What is more interesting is that other scientists have recently produced a very similar box of cooks mounted on their head or some call of a puss. 759 01:22:15,000 --> 01:22:23,000 Whereby, by pressing one button, they can command a thing to come, and by pressing another button, they can command it to go. 760 01:22:23,000 --> 01:22:32,000 This is simply by either producing in it the attraction due to food, or the repulsion due to a loud noise. 761 01:22:32,000 --> 01:22:36,000 In fact, it receives neither. It only receives an electrical signal, but different wavelengths. 762 01:22:36,000 --> 01:22:52,000 What I'm trying to bring home to you now is the fact that although it may not be possible to transmit a complex idea, it is perfectly possible to transmit an idea, the idea of come or the idea of go, 763 01:22:52,000 --> 01:23:00,000 but for even an inert apparatus in the brain of a cat, recently a number of people in America have reported hearing meteorites. 764 01:23:00,000 --> 01:23:07,000 Experiments have now been carried out which show that certainly some servicemen can hear radar waves. 765 01:23:07,000 --> 01:23:13,000 To be strictly truthful, they don't hear the radar waves, but they can hear what is called the pulse for current frequency. 766 01:23:13,000 --> 01:23:21,000 In other words, if they've got a radar which is working with a few thousand repetitions per second, they hear a high-pitched whistle. 767 01:23:21,000 --> 01:23:25,000 But this is not detected by their ears, if they're stoned therefore, if they're ears are plugged. 768 01:23:25,000 --> 01:23:29,000 They still hear the whistle inside their heads. 769 01:23:29,000 --> 01:23:34,000 And this also reminds us of certain experiments recently carried out on recess monkeys in the States, 770 01:23:34,000 --> 01:23:42,000 which have shown that you can produce a mental breakdown, or even drive them completely insane, by just transmitting television to them. 771 01:23:42,000 --> 01:23:46,000 You don't see the pictures, they only get the radar waves. 772 01:23:46,000 --> 01:23:50,000 The Lord knows what will happen if they saw the pictures as well. 773 01:23:50,000 --> 01:23:53,000 Can I have the next? 774 01:23:53,000 --> 01:24:00,000 This shows you what happens when a bird gets sucked into the air intake of a jet plane. 775 01:24:00,000 --> 01:24:06,000 It's fatal for the bird, it could be fatal for the pilot and his crew. 776 01:24:06,000 --> 01:24:14,000 Consequently, the Americans have become very worried about this, and they've done a lot of work on clearing birds, particularly large species, off their airfields. 777 01:24:14,000 --> 01:24:18,000 And how do they do it? Yes, you'd guess it, they do it by electromagnetic radiation. 778 01:24:18,000 --> 01:24:27,000 If you take a beam of radio waves, round about 10 centimeters wavelength, or an even longer wavelength, out to say 600 megacircles, 779 01:24:27,000 --> 01:24:35,000 if you beam this down, it doesn't have to be a very intense radiation, it is not a radiation strong enough to warm up the brain. 780 01:24:35,000 --> 01:24:39,000 There is no direct, obvious, mechanical effect like that. 781 01:24:39,000 --> 01:24:44,000 At a very low intensity, the bird becomes paralyzed and just falls down. 782 01:24:44,000 --> 01:24:51,000 This is what they do on the airfields, they have a beam like this which is swept around the airfield when a large jet is about to take off or come in, 783 01:24:51,000 --> 01:24:54,000 and all the birds are paralyzed for a few minutes. 784 01:24:54,000 --> 01:25:01,000 Within minutes or so of the beam being turned off, they're happily flapping around and getting in everybody's way again. 785 01:25:02,000 --> 01:25:06,000 I think that's the last slide, is it? Thank you, it lasts. 786 01:25:09,000 --> 01:25:19,000 Right, I don't propose breaking into the copyright of the mixed article in the Blind Salsa Review, 787 01:25:19,000 --> 01:25:25,000 which is the final one in my present series, in which I go over this matter and a number of other things, 788 01:25:25,000 --> 01:25:28,000 and draw it out into a more coherent theme. 789 01:25:29,000 --> 01:25:38,000 But I would like you thinking back over what we've gone through to realise that we had a perfectly good scientific evidence, 790 01:25:38,000 --> 01:25:43,000 quite partly in terms of feeling that lots of us may possess about life on other worlds, 791 01:25:43,000 --> 01:25:49,000 perfectly good scientific evidence that there are suitable environments available, 792 01:25:49,000 --> 01:25:53,000 there are homes for life elsewhere, if it has evolved there. 793 01:25:54,000 --> 01:26:00,000 And having looked at the possible ways in which communication could take place between worlds, 794 01:26:00,000 --> 01:26:06,000 there appears to be evidence or attempts having taken place, although we've got nothing terribly concrete to go on. 795 01:26:06,000 --> 01:26:12,000 There is also the possibility that we have overlooked a tremendously important field, 796 01:26:12,000 --> 01:26:20,000 that of parapsychology, the possibility that the emanations of the planet Jupiter, for example, 797 01:26:21,000 --> 01:26:28,000 may not merely be attempts to influence our minds, for all we know they are effective in influencing our minds. 798 01:26:28,000 --> 01:26:34,000 There are so many things that go on in our minds that we can't explain, 799 01:26:34,000 --> 01:26:40,000 that there is always a possibility that they are due to an external influence. 800 01:26:40,000 --> 01:26:45,000 The one piece of scientific evidence which shows that this is an all-utter moonshine 801 01:26:45,000 --> 01:26:52,000 is this recent series of electrical experiments indicating that you can paralyse birds, 802 01:26:52,000 --> 01:27:00,000 you can drive monkeys mad, little old human beings with television, and that you can transmit information. 803 01:27:00,000 --> 01:27:08,000 And finally, we must briefly consider the social implications of coming into contact with superior races. 804 01:27:08,000 --> 01:27:13,000 There can be no question of there having any fear of us, crude, though we may seem, 805 01:27:13,000 --> 01:27:21,000 since even a slightly more advanced society could, if it wished, completely exterminate terrestrial life with little or no effort, 806 01:27:21,000 --> 01:27:26,000 in much the same way as we exterminate lot of rum into us. 807 01:27:26,000 --> 01:27:29,000 On the other hand, it is probable that we have little to fear. 808 01:27:29,000 --> 01:27:36,000 Very superior races, societies of vast intellect, may well possess equally vast compassion. 809 01:27:37,000 --> 01:27:44,000 Although this is an idealist view, and I'm sorry to say it cannot be deduced from observations of human behavior. 810 01:27:44,000 --> 01:27:50,000 The establishment of contact with any superior community would obviously be of unparalleled importance, 811 01:27:50,000 --> 01:27:54,000 socially, technically, and culturally. 812 01:27:54,000 --> 01:28:01,000 It could lead either to our rapidly attaining a superior status ourselves, or it could lead to our extinction. 813 01:28:01,000 --> 01:28:09,000 And it probably depends upon how well we can conceal or overcome our great failings as social beings.